The Canadian Real Estate Investor Podcast

Understanding Cap Rates In A Down Market

Published June 27, 2025 · 3771

Topics: Cap Rates, Housing Market

Show Notes

How do Cap Rates work? Why & how they change & why every investor needs to understand them, especially in a down market.

  • Cap Rate Math Impact: A 2.5% cap rate increase (4% to 6.5%) can cause a 38.5% property value drop, potentially eliminating equity for leveraged investors.
  • Recession Patterns: Cap rates rise during downturns as investors require higher returns for increased risk, even when interest rates initially fall.
  • Investor Strategy: Savvy investors avoid assuming further cap rate compression and instead stress-test for expansion to ensure investments can withstand market changes.

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