Daniel Foch on YouTube

Don't Buy Toronto Real Estate Until You See This Data

Published September 4, 2026

Topics: Toronto

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Toronto Real Estate: Inventory Tightening or Summer Seasonality? TREB Market Watch Breakdown

MULTIPLEX TICKETS: https://realist.ca/community/events/unpacking-multiplexes-toronto

Report link: https://www.homiesai.com/research/trreb-market-watch-august-2026

The episode analyzes TREB’s latest Market Watch data, questioning whether Toronto’s market is genuinely tightening or simply reflecting summer seasonality. Sales are down 2.1% year over year while new listings are down 14.1% and active listings are falling, which could move conditions toward balance faster than expected, though August supply data may be distorted by sellers temporarily exiting. Prices are down about 3% overall, with the host expecting a long period of sideways “chop,” and emphasizing that inflation-adjusted (real) prices can take far longer to recover than nominal prices. In the 416, detached prices are nearly flat, supported by strong multiplex demand, while townhouses are weaker amid a temporary GST/HST removal that favors new-build supply. Despite record condo oversupply, 416 condo prices are only down 2.1%, potentially because sellers choose to rent rather than cut prices. The host also notes slowing forced selling, ongoing affordability fears, and the Bank of Canada holding rates at 2.25%.

00:00 Market Tightening Question
00:36 Custom MarketWatch Charts
01:24 Prices And Seasonal Noise
02:46 Real Prices And Inflation
04:43 416 Detached And Multiplex Boom
06:58 Townhouses And HST Rebate
08:31 Condo Prices Vs Oversupply
10:02 Forced Sellers And Equilibrium
11:52 Why Buyers Still Sit Out
14:05 Inventory Outlook And Wrap Up

#torontorealestate #realestatecanada #torontorealtor

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